Coinbase just rolled out prediction markets to all 50 US states on January 27-28, 2026, bringing real-money trading on elections, sports, and economic outcomes to its massive user base. Built in partnership with Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction market operator valued at $11 billion, the launch positions Coinbase as a major player in the rapidly growing prediction market space.
The timing isn’t coincidental. Coinbase dropped prediction markets just before the Super Bowl, tapping into peak sports betting season while competing head-to-head with Polymarket and Robinhood’s emerging prediction market offerings.
Put your money where you mind is.
— Coinbase Predict (@CoinbasePredict) February 2, 2026
Trade the Big Game on Coinbase. pic.twitter.com/MFKJpCdP5M
What’s Included
- Trade on real-world outcomes: Elections, sports events, collectibles, and economic indicators
- Yes/No positions: Buy contracts on specific outcomes, with prices reflecting market probability
- Seamless funding: Use cash or USDC directly from your Coinbase account
- CFTC-regulated infrastructure: Built on Kalshi’s compliant platform
- Dedicated updates: Follow @CoinbasePredict on X for market launches and insights
- Native integration coming: Fully integrated prediction market experience launching in the Coinbase app in late Q1 2026
Why It Matters
Prediction markets let traders put real money behind their beliefs about future events, creating crowd-sourced probability forecasts that often outperform traditional polling. Coinbase’s entry validates the space and brings prediction market access to millions of existing Coinbase users across all 50 states.
Led by Toni Gemayel, Coinbase’s head of prediction markets, this launch is part of the company’s “everything exchange” strategy to become the go-to platform for all forms of trading and speculation. With Kalshi’s regulatory foundation and Coinbase’s distribution power, this could reshape how mainstream users engage with prediction markets.
The competition is heating up fast. Polymarket dominated 2024-2025 with crypto-native users, while Robinhood is building its own prediction market product. Coinbase’s advantage? An existing user base, fiat on-ramps, and full regulatory compliance from day one.
How to Follow and Join
- Start trading: Access prediction markets through your Coinbase account (available in all 50 US states)
- Stay updated: Follow @CoinbasePredict on X for new markets and analysis
- Watch for integration: Native Coinbase app experience expected late Q1 2026
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